Apportionment

2020 Reapportionment Forecast - Total Citizen Population - 2019 Estimates

Fair Lines used the newly released ACS 5-year Estimates from 2014-2018 to forecast how reapportionment would play out if the Census Bureau reapportioned congressional representation based on the total citizen population rather than the total resident population.

2020 Reapportionment Forecast – Bubble Seats – 2019 Update

Based on Fair Lines America’s updated 2020 reapportionment estimates the twelve seats listed below will be either the final 6 apportioned or the first 6 left out.

2020 Reapportionment Forecast - Total Population – 2019 Update

Below are Fair Lines America’s updated 2019 estimates for reapportionment following the 2020 Census. The 2020 reapportionment will allocate congressional representation (and Electoral College votes) for the 50 states from 2022 through 2030.

1960–2010 Reapportionment Shifts

Though the number of Congressional seats has not changed since 1911, the movement of seats has. A review of aggregate representation shifts over the past five reapportionments reveals 62 seats have moved south and west; nearly as many as the 65 seats first apportioned by the Constitution.

2020 Reapportionment Forecast – Bubble Seats - 2018 Estimates

Based on Fair Lines America’s updated 2020 reapportionment estimates the twelve seats listed below are the ones forecast to be either the final 6 apportioned or the first 6 left out following the 2020 Census.

2020 Reapportionment Forecast – Total Population - 2018 Estimates

Fair Lines America updated their 2018 estimates for reapportionment following the 2020 Census. The 2020 reapportionment will allocate congressional representation (and Electoral College votes) for the 50 states from 2022 through 2030.
The above information was prepared by Fair Lines America